About three lakh people could be infected in India every day in February , if there is no vaccine introduced .

If the vaccine is not released, about three lakh people could be infected in India every day in February.  If the current situation does not change, India will reach the top of the list of Corona affected countries in the world leaving behind America, Brazil, Russia.  The situation will reach its worst point between September and November.  The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has voiced its concern for India over Corona.

 MIT's Sloan School of Management has made a worrying prediction for India, surveying over 80 per cent of the world's population in 64 countries.  Researchers claim that coronavirus infection will be more alarming in Bangladesh, Pakistan and the United States.  In the next 6 months.

 Researchers claim that if no effective vaccine is released, 2 lakh 7 thousand people will be infected with corona daily in India in February next year.  And between March and May, the number of corona cases worldwide will reach 20 to 60 crore.

 However, some doctors and experts in Kolkata are reluctant to take MIT's study seriously.  Medicine expert Arindam Biswas says, "I am reluctant to give importance to MIT's calculation of a number. The government of our country will take some steps to control this disease if necessary. As a result, I believe that MIT's calculations will not match.  There will be many more coveted hospitals if necessary .  People will be terrified of this survey. "

 Researchers at MIT's Sloan School of Management used two special models to conduct the study.  

•  1. ‘SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered)’.
•  2.  The other model is purely mathematical.  Epidemiologists often use this model to gauge the severity of an infectious disease.

 According to the MIT survey, if the vaccine is not released, India will surpass all other countries in the world in the number of daily corona attacks by the end of February.  America will be right after him.  At that time, 95,000 people will be infected daily in the United States.  The number of daily victims in South Africa will be 21 thousand.  And 16 thousand in Iran and 13 thousand in Indonesia.

 

 In making this prediction, the researchers kept in mind three indicators.

•  First, at what rate is the Covid test now and what are the results?
•  Second, what if the rate of covid parasites increased by 0.1 percent per day from July 1?
•  Third, what if the Covid test rate remains the same as it is now and if one infected person infects a maximum of 8 more people?

 The study also found that the more covid tests are possible, the easier it will be to prevent infection.  If the test rate remains the same as it is now, the number of corona cases in 64 countries of the world will increase to 1.5 crore by the end of February.  And if the rate of covid test increases by 0.1 percent per day, then the number of those Corona affected patients will increase to 136 million in the next 6 months.

 The MIT survey also found that the number of corona cases and deaths worldwide is staggering.  Literally, the exact number of people suffering from corona or dying is not being accounted for.

 "According to our estimates, as of June 17 this year, 67.5 million people worldwide have been infected with corona," the researchers said.  6 lakh people have died.  Which is 11.6 times higher than the official estimate of infection.  And the death toll is 1.46 times higher than the official estimate. "

 However, according to the data provided by Johns Hopkins University, 62 lakh 40 thousand people have been infected with corona in the world till June 18.  The death toll is 4 lakh 54 thousand 610.